With just weeks to the 2024 Presidential and Parliamentary elections, independent candidates are struggling to make a mark.
According to recent polls, none of the six competitive independent candidates in Sunyani East, Asante Akyem Central, Asante Akyem North, La-Dade Kotopon, Suhum, and Agona West secured enough votes to earn the pass mark.
The New Patriotic Party (NPP) is currently leading with 128 safe seats, followed by the National Democratic Congress (NDC) with 92 safe seats.
The remaining 56 constituencies are up for grabs, with both parties likely to win an equal share.
In the presidential race, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP holds a 49.1% lead, followed closely by John Mahama of the NDC with 45.8%.
Other candidates, including Nana Kwame Bediako and John Alan Kyerematen are trailing behind with 2.2% and 1.2% respectively.
Professor Smart Sarpong, Associate Professor of Statistics and Director of Research and Innovation at Kumasi Technical University, emphasizes the importance of quality data in election research.
“Without quality data, you’re just another person with an opinion,” he quotes W. Edwards Deming.
The electoral system has historically favored major parties, making it challenging for independent candidates to succeed.
In fact, Ghana is among countries that do not allow elected members of parliament to retain their seats as independents after leaving their original party.
As the election draws near, parties must focus on consolidating their gains in leading regions and improving performance in other areas.
With all 276 constituency seats still in play, parties will need to rally their supporters and strategize to emerge victorious.
-BY Daniel Bampoe