Jinapor ‘Dumsor’ Prediction Is Wrong – PPTC

Dr Mathew Opoku Prempeh, Energy Minister

The Power Planning Technical Committee (PPTC) says claim by National Democratic Congress (NDC) Member1 of Parliament for Yapei Kusawgu, John Jinapor that the country is returning to the days of erratic power supply (Dumsor) is false.

In a statement signed by its Chairman, Ing. Frank Otchere, in reaction to an earlier claim by Mr Jinapor on May 9, 2022 on a number of issues pertaining to the power sector PPTC said Mr. Jinapor claims is contrary.

Mr. Jinapor is reported to have said that ‘the existing generation capacities will not be adequate to serve the projected demand with 18% reserve margins for any of the planning years.”

The PPTC explained that according to the 2022 Electricity Plan (ESP), the country had total installed generation capacity of 5,265.1MW, with dependable capacity standing at 4,706. With a projected annual peak demand going up to 4,793MW in 2026, the committee stated that it is obvious that both the installed capacity and dependable capacity are in excess of peak demand, and therefore there cannot be imminent ‘dumsor’ as was portrayed.

Explaining further, the committee states that ‘dumsor’ only occurs when the actual demand is higher than what the system is able to generate, and clarifies that the additional demand recommended in its report is only required to provide as extra capacity to serve as reserve.

The committee further clarifies that in recommending further generation capacity between 2023 and 2027 (a total of 822 MW), this only refers to a sensitivity analysis on capacity requirement in the event that the Bui Hydro Plant is able to run only on two (2) units instead of three (3) during the peak period. “This situation is rare, and was analysed only as a sensitivity scenario in the unlikely event of such a situation”, the statement said.

On the claim by Mr Jinapor that the report negates the argument of Ghana having excess gas leading to capacity payments, the statement rebuts that with a claim that the recommendation of the ESP 2022 for arrangements to increase gas supply did not imply procuring new gas facilities. Rather the statement said it was only alerting that demand is growing and therefore there was the need to make arrangements to increase volumes of gas supplied from the existing gas facilities.

By Vincent Kubi