Ken Agyapong
A NEW academic survey has revealed that Kennedy Ohene Agyapong is consolidating his lead among New Patriotic Party (NPP) delegates nationwide, and is the frontrunner in the race to become the flagbearer of the party.
The findings were unveiled at a press conference held in Accra at the British Council by lead researcher, Dr. Evans Duah, who emphasised that Mr. Agyapong was on course to be elected as the flagbearer of the NPP ahead of their presidential primary scheduled for January 2026.
According to him, a September 22 to October 5, 2025, survey of New Patriotic Party delegates revealed a decisive shift in national-level preferences ahead of the party’s presidential primary.
Building on the August 2025 baseline, the updated poll, conducted by a team of 120 trained field officers, sampled 26,150 delegates across all 16 administrative regions, achieving a robust 76% response rate.
The findings show that Kennedy Ohene Agyapong (KOA) has not only retained but significantly expanded his lead among NPP delegates. Under the worst-case scenario model, KOA commands 44.11% of national delegate support, rising to 53.80% in the best-case projection, surpassing the majority threshold and marking a net gain of 9.69 percentage points since August.
KOA’s dominance is particularly pronounced in the southern regions, including Central, Greater Accra, Ashanti, Ahafo, Bono, Volta, and Western. He now leads in 9 out of 16 regions under conservative assumptions, and 11 out of 16 regions under optimistic assumptions, underscoring both his numerical strength and geographical reach.
Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB) maintains second place, with worst-case support at 39.51%. However, his best-case share has declined to 32.21%, reflecting stagnation and limited traction. While DMB continues to hold sway in the northern corridor, that is, North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West, his campaign faces challenges in expanding its appeal nationally.
Dr. Bryan Acheampong (BA), once a rising contender, has seen his support dip to 6.28% (worst-case) and 8.27% (best-case), remaining regionally concentrated in the Eastern Region. Meanwhile, Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum (YOA) and Ing. Kwabena Agyei Agyepong (KAA) have recorded modest gains, with potential influence through strategic endorsements or alliances.
Key drivers of the changes in the latest poll include Mr. Agyapong’s intensified constituency campaign focus, heightened visibility, and perceived momentum.
While the results indicate a turning point in the race’s trajectory, Dr. Duah cautions that the contest remains fluid. He further added that the final outcome will depend on how effectively campaigns convert momentum into votes within the short window before the primary.
“The delegate polls have become a two-horse race. Others can consolidate, but at the end of the day, it’s between Dr. Bawumia and Kennedy Agyapong. The main difference lies in the strong regions that need to be strategically decided. A coalition may be necessary.
“We hope there won’t be a runoff, as research suggests that one candidate, Kennedy, currently appears capable of crossing the 50+1 threshold. Other candidates will need to work harder to improve their chances,” he added.